I predict that Bush will win in November (as everybody else does) unless all of the following occur:
1. Teresa Heinz Kerry remains silent for the rest of the campaign season.
2. The Iraqi Prime Minister is assasinated.
3. The Afghani Prime Minister is assasinated.
4. Oil goes over and remains over $50 a barrel.
5. Jeb Bush's approval rating tanks.
6. Florida African Americans engage in a concerted get-out-the-vote effort.
7. American casualties in Iraq become unbearable to the American people.
8. Kerry is the unaninimous winner of all debates.
9. Israel does something about Iranian nukes. (this one could go either way).
10. Edwards can convince Ohio housewives that they have a shot at him.
